Markets are pricing in the possibility of four interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this year
New economic data from the United States and expectations of rate cuts are boosting short-term recovery hopes in the cryptocurrency market. Notably, major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) 
$84,479, Ethereum (ETH) 
$1,829, and XRP are witnessing renewed buying activity. Investors are now focusing on new data, moving away from past selling pressures.
Rate Cut Expectations Ignite Market Activity
The anticipation of four rate cuts by the Fed this year is rekindling market risk appetite. Currently, a 0.25 basis point rate cut is expected in June, July, September, and December. Lower borrowing costs from the rate cuts support economic growth while encouraging investors to seek alternative assets.
The cryptocurrency market is positively influenced by these developments. As of Friday morning, Bitcoin managed to stay above $83,100, while Ethereum reclaimed the $1,800 mark. Other leading altcoins, such as Solana 
$119(SOL) and Cardano 
$0.660652(ADA), saw gains of over 2%. Particularly, as markets begin to move away from the oversold region, the likelihood of a short-term rebound strengthens.
Singapore-based QCP Capital highlighted that investor positions have eased, and risky assets have significantly become cheaper. It emphasized that the current scenario may lay the groundwork for a brief recovery.
Tariff Tensions and Volume Surges Capture Attention
Midweek, the cryptocurrency market experienced significant volatility. Reports of President Donald Trump’s announcement of a new minimum tariff of 10% on imports led to rapid buying, followed by sharp sell-offs. Gains from earlier in the week were erased as investors reassessed their positions amid unexpected developments.
Before the announcements, there was an increase in transfers to exchanges for major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP. Data shared by CryptoQuant with CoinDesk indicated a single block transfer of 2,500 BTC. On the Ethereum side, hourly exchange inflows reached 80,000 ETH. Additionally, 130 million XRP were transferred to Binance within an hour, marking a tenfold increase compared to the previous day.
Ethereum and XRP Exchange Transfers
The surge in volume indicates that investors are leaning towards selling in the face of growing economic uncertainty. In the futures market, significant closures occurred due to profit-taking in long positions.
Attention Shifts to Non-Farm Payroll Data
Investors are now focused on the upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payroll Data. This data, released monthly by the U.S. Department of Labor, encompasses critical indicators such as employment changes, unemployment rates, and wage growth. Investors are looking for signs of a cooling labor market from the data release.
QCP Capital noted in a market assessment via Telegram that a weaker-than-expected data set could strengthen the Fed’s case for rate cuts. Such a scenario could create a short-term positive atmosphere for risky assets. A potential weakening of the U.S. dollar might heighten the appeal of alternative investment vehicles, like Bitcoin and altcoins.
Furthermore, QCP Capital reported that high volatility is expected to persist in the short term, with the number of investors hedging against downward positions increasing. All these developments suggest that there may be a brief relief in the market.